Fannie-Freddie Lawsuit Should Matter to the Masses by Joseph Colangelo, published by American Banker on September 4, 2015
Posted: Sep 7, 2015
Most people are aware of the ongoing legal battle waged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shareholders against the U.S. government. But the lawsuit also has broader implications for consumers that have thus far gone unacknowledged.
In the midst of the housing crisis, the two government-sponsored enterprises were placed into conservatorship under terms outlined in the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008. This agreement allowed the entities to access Treasury funding and therefore continue providing liquidity to the mortgage market. In exchange, the government acquired a 79% ownership stake in the GSEs by way of purchasing common shares.
ASSET PRICES ADJUSTING AS PREDICTED!!! by Bill Dunkelberg, Chief Economist, National Federation of Independent Business
Posted: Aug 25, 2015
WHEN WILL THIS BUBBLE BURST?
National Federation of Independent Business
American consumers have about $14 trillion in debt and a net worth of over $80 trillion according to the Federal Reserve. Net worth is the sum of the values of all assets, real and financial, that consumers own, less their debt, including mortgage debt, leases, credit cards and the like. The wealth we hold is a way of storing purchasing power. You can sell your shares of Apple and buy “stuff”, goods and services. Ultimately, for most consumers, that’s what our wealth is used for, to acquire “stuff”. Some of our assets provide services directly such as our houses and cars. The real services received from these assets would seem to be unchanged over time even though their market prices vary. As the market value of your house rose and then fell, did the real housing services you received rise and then fall as well? Probably not.
Just Do It, Janet: Time for a Fed Rate Hike by Richard M. Kovacevich
Posted: Aug 16, 2015
Why must we continue to read, listen, and converse about when the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate to an infinitesimal one-quarter of one percentage point? Just do it and get it over with.
A review of Federal Reserve’s unconventional monetary policies shows that few of the central bank’s recent actions have achieved their desired goals. Therefore the central bank has little to lose in moving ahead with such a minor rate increase.
The Fed put the U.S. through three rounds of quantitative easing. Through all of them, the economy limped along at an average gross domestic product growth rate of about 2.3%–the slowest economic recovery since World War II. After each round, observers worried that ending QE would be bad for the economy.
What happened? Very little. The economy is still growing at about the same sluggish pace. Long-term interest rates haven’t changed that much.
Meanwhile, the Fed has held off shrinking its balance sheet. This is a mistake. The central bank should allow its current $4.5 trillion securities holdings to decrease as principal payments and maturities occur.
Here is the link to the full article
Zero Hour: What the Fed’s Next Move Could Mean for the Economy, OUTLOOK Economic Data and Commentary by Alex Pollock
Posted: Aug 16, 2015
[My friend Alex Pollock, resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, gave a very thoughtful and interesting interview on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy strategies in recent years to Co Bank, a large cooperative bank serving the agricultural industry. I believe you will enjoy reading Pollock’s interview, and I highly recommend it to you. We are clearly in uncharted waters with monetary policies in the U.S. and throughout the world.]
Don’t Forget the 1980’s by Alex J. Pollock
Posted: Feb 27, 2015
It should be a deeply sobering thought for Americans that the U.S. housing finance sector has collapsed twice in the last three decades. Of course, we know that there was the painful shriveling of the huge U.S. housing and mortgage bubble of the 2000s, but only twenty years before there was the mass failure of the savings and loan (thrift) industry, up to then the dominant mortgage lenders, first from interest rate risk and then from bad loans. That resulted in the failure of the government’s savings and loan deposit insurance fund, which required a $150 billion taxpayer bailout. The bonds sold in 1990 to finance that bailout run to 2030, so the taxpayers will be paying for the 1980s bailout for 15 more years from now! Does the U.S. as a nation have a natural ineptitude for housing finance? Moreover, the savings and loan crisis was mixed together with a severe commercial banking crisis.
Here’s a financial history quiz: How many U.S. thrift institutions and commercial banks do you think failed or had to get government assistance in the 1980s crisis? Before you read the answer, what’s your number?
About that $191B Profit from the GSEs By Erika Morphy published in the GlobeSt.com, February 18, 2015
Posted: Feb 18, 2015
WASHINGTON, DC—Last week when the White House released its budget for fiscal year 2016, it included one eyebrow-raising line item: it assumed that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could return $191.2 billion in profits to the US Treasury over the next decade if they continue operating under federal conservatorship.
The item gave the commercial real estate industry pause for a few reasons. This number 1) assumes the GSEs will remain under federal conservatorship 2) it assumes that the lawsuits filed by GSE shareholders disgruntled by the government’s decision to sweep all profits from the GSEs back to the US Treasury will go nowhere 3) it assumes the GSEs will continue to bring in record profits.
After the Housing Crisis, a Cash Flood and Silence By Gretchen Morgenson published in the New York Times, February 17, 2015
Posted: Feb 17, 2015
On Aug. 17, 2012, the federal government began expropriating all the earnings of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giants that succumbed to the 2008 crisis.
Now the government is taking extraordinary measures to keep secret the deliberations surrounding that action. What exactly is it trying to hide?
That is the question being asked by a Fannie and Freddie shareholder who has sued the government over the 2012 profit grab. The investor contends that the move amounted to an improper taking of its property; the government disagrees.
Margaret M. Sweeney, a judge in the Court of Federal Claims, will determine who is right. But in the meantime, consider the remarkable secrecy demands that the government has made in the matter.
Here is the link to the full article
REGULATION OF SHADOW BANKING TAKES A DARK TURN A ‘chain’ of routine securities transactions, the Fed suggests, can transform a non-systemic firm into a systemic firm By Peter J. Wallison
Posted: Feb 12, 2015
Feb. 9, 2015
Recent statements by senior Federal Reserve officials show that the agency is stepping up efforts to investigate and ultimately regulate what they call the “shadow-banking system.” As the regulators define that term, it is nothing less than capital and securities markets—the industries principally responsible for the growth of the U.S. economy over the past 40 years.
In December, Stanley Fischer , the Fed’s vice chairman and head of its internal systemic-risk committee, told an asset-management group that the New York Fed is “mapping” the relationships between and among financial institutions with a view to determining the scope of the shadow-banking system. The Fed, he said, is considering whether it has sufficient authority to regulate shadow banks. If it doesn’t, he said, the Fed will turn the matter over to the Financial Stability Oversight Council—created by the Dodd-Frank law and made up of the heads of all federal financial regulators, with the Treasury secretary as chairman—for appropriate action.
THE BIG LIE: 5.6% UNEMPLOYMENT By Jim Clifton, CEO of Gallup
Posted: Feb 6, 2015
Here’s something that many Americans – including some of the smartest and most educated among us – don’t know: The official unemployment rate, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor, is extremely misleading.
Right now, we’re hearing much celebrating from the media, the White House and Wall Street about how unemployment is “down” to 5.6%. The cheerleading for this number is deafening. The media loves a comeback story, the White House wants to score political points and Wall Street would like you to stay in the market.
None of them will tell you this: Here is the link to the full article
America Is Exhibiting A Symptom Of A Dying Free-Enterprise System By Tony Sagami
Posted: Jan 28, 2015
[Jim Clifton, CEO of the Gallup Poll organization, wrote recently that “For the first time in 35 years, American business deaths now outnumber births.” Clifton’s finding is both shocking and very disturbing for our nation’s future economic growth and employment. In an article published by Business Insider, Tony Sagami discusses Clifton’s finding and its implications for our nation. I recommend the article to you.]
“For the first time in 35 years, American business deaths now outnumber business births.” —Jim Clifton, CEO, Gallup Polls
I’ve been self-employed since 1998, and let me tell you, the life of a business owner isn’t easy. It’s filled with long hours, a relentless amount of paperwork, and uncertainty of where your next paycheck will come from. If you’ve ever owned a business, you know exactly what I’m talking about.
Here is the link to the full article